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UArizona expert: Arizona headed for 'major humanitarian crisis'

Posted at 3:30 PM, Dec 14, 2020
and last updated 2020-12-15 12:56:06-05

PHOENIX — A University of Arizona associate professor is warning Arizona's worsening COVID-19 surge is headed toward a major humanitarian crisis in the coming weeks.

In his latest COVID-19 modeling report, Dr. Joe Gerald writes:

"We have now all but locked in a major humanitarian crisis during the Christmas–New Year holiday with hundreds of preventable deaths per week."

Dr. Gerald also noted, by Christmas, Arizona will experience more than 500 deaths a week, although that might not be apparent until mid-January, when all deaths are accounted for. He referenced a case fatality rate of roughly 1.5%.

As of Monday, the state's coronavirus dashboard reported 3,677 COVID-19 inpatients at Arizona hospitals, the highest such number since the beginning of the pandemic.

RELATED: Arizona health officials report nearly 12,000 new coronavirus cases on Monday