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POLL: Martha McSally has one point lead over Kyrsten Sinema days before election

Posted at 9:34 PM, Nov 04, 2018
and last updated 2018-11-05 21:25:55-05

A new ABC15/OH Predictive Insights poll breaks down the latest numbers in the race for U.S Senate in Arizona. 


The latest poll from OH Predictive Insights and ABC15 Arizona shows that Republican U.S Senate nominee Martha McSally has a one-point lead over Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, with 49 percent of the vote.

Since dropping out from the race, Green party candidate Angela Green has zero percent of the vote, down from one percent since our last poll.

The survey was conducted between November 2 and November 3 with a sample of 631 people considered to be qualified, likely voters.  

“Arizona is seeing a historic midterm election turnout and Democratic voters are defying past historic early voting trends,” said Mike Noble, Chief Pollster and Managing Partner of Phoenix-based research company OH Predictive Insights. “The race has tightened and it’s fitting that the winner will be decided based on who can best turn out their voters on election day.”