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POLL: Martha McSally has lead over Kyrsten Sinema as election nears

Posted at 7:04 PM, Oct 31, 2018

New polling numbers out Wednesday show the Senate race between Martha McSally and Kyrsten Sinema is still close - but has McSally pulling ahead. 

The exclusive ABC15 Arizona and OH Predictive Insights poll shows McSally with a seven-point lead with 52% of the vote compared to Sinema's 45%. 

Only 2% are undecided with 1% saying they'll vote for Green Party candidate Angela Green. 

The chief pollster for OH Predictive Insights says the shift in numbers is being linked to the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh and the caravan of migrants headed to the United States. 

"If Kavanaugh didn't happen I think it'd be an extremely tight race," said chief pollster Mike Noble. "If not, I'd actually say the edge would go to Sinema but after seeing the polling - seeing the results - everything else - I think that McSally will end up winning coming election night." 

On the flip-side, a CNN poll also released Wednesday had Sinema with 51% of the vote compared to McSally's 47%.