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POLL: Ducey, Brnovich, Gaynor hold leads in state races

POLL: Ducey, Brnovich, Gaynor lead state races
Posted at 4:55 PM, Nov 01, 2018
and last updated 2018-11-02 13:55:07-04

A new ABC15/OH Predictive Insights poll breaks down the latest numbers in some of the most high-profile state races.

See the latest numbers gathered below.
Secretary of State:

Steve Gaynor has only nailed down 63% of Lean Conservative voters with another 12% leaning
his way. Sixteen-percent of them remain undecided, the largest of any ideological group. However, Gaynor continues to hold his lead over Hobbs.  

Steve Gaynor (R): 50%
Katie Hobbs (D): 44%
Unsure: 6%
Arizona Treasurer:

With undecided voters beginning to make up their minds, it seems they are leaning towards Yee. She has gained 5 points to Mark Manoil’s 1 point, since our last poll.

Kimberly Yee (R): 53%
Mark Manoli (D): 34% 
Unsure: 13%


Attorney General:

Incumbent Attorney General Mark Brnovich continues to hold a strong lead against challenger January Contreras. However, Contreras has gained a large amount of male support, with an 8-point increase since our last poll. Even with this loss, Brnovich still holds a 14-point lead.

Mark Brnovich (R): 53%
January Contreras (D): 39%
Unsure: 8%
Superintendent of Public Instruction:

This is the closest race, with Frank Riggs holding a 4-point lead and 12% of voters still undecided. Among those who believe education is a top priority, Hoffman leads by 60 points.

Frank Riggs (R): 46%
Kathy Hoffman (D): 42%
Unsure: 12%
Arizona Governor:

Since our last poll, incumbent Doug Ducey has maintained his nearly 2-to-1 lead, gaining three points. David Garcia has gained 2 points.

Doug Ducey (R): 57%
David Garcia (D): 39%
Unsure: 4%
Methodology: This 42% cell phone and 58% landline poll was completed by OH Predictive Insights on October 22, 2018 and October 23, 2018, from a likely 2018 General Election voter sample. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region, and age. The sample size was 600 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 4%. Numbers may not total 100%, due to rounding. Poll report for the General Election poll can be viewed here