Annual tornado count low -- for now

We're halfway through the year, yet we've only seen roughly a third of the tornadoes we usually see for the year.

Over the last 10 years, only 2013 had fewer tornadoes up to this point.

 

But a lot can happen in the next six months.

This year, the U.S. has seen 546 tornado reports to date. In 2005, that number was 579. Last year, it was 516. A week into June, the number is right in the middle of 2005 and 2013.

Looking at these two years closest resembling this season, there are still two very different results.

Last year was one of the quietest tornado seasons on record, ending up with 943 at the end of the year. But 2005 was closer to the average, with a total of 1216.

Comparing the overall weather patterns from any of these years is difficult.

In 2005, the nation was coming off of a weak El Nino pattern at the beginning of the year, and by the end of the year, it started moving to a La Nina.

In 2013, neither La Nina nor El Nino played a part.

By the end of this year, the country will likely see an El Nino forming. 

Probabilities for tornadoes peak at the beginning of June, which means the chances for a tornado drop every day.

 

Whether this is a record breaking year or just another year with a slow start is yet to be seen.

Follow Storm Shield Meteorologist Jason Meyers via the Storm Shield app on twitter, @StormShieldApp and Facebook. Download the Storm Shield Weather Radio App for your iPhone or Android device and get severe weather alerts wherever you are.

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